Louisville, KY — Kentucky could see impacts from a potentially high-end winter storm this weekend, with snowfall totals ranging from minor accumulations to as much as 12 to 24 inches in a worst-case scenario, depending on the storm’s eventual path.
The National Weather Service said forecasters are closely tracking two main storm scenarios, both of which would affect Kentucky but produce very different results.
In Scenario 1, the storm moves farther south before turning northeast. Under this scenario, Kentucky would stay on the northern edge of the heaviest precipitation, leading to lighter snowfall totals of about 1 to 4 inches, mainly across southern and eastern parts of the state. Travel impacts would still be possible but more limited.
In Scenario 2, the storm tracks farther north through the Tennessee and Ohio valleys before strengthening as it moves toward the Mid-Atlantic. This route would place much of Kentucky closer to the storm’s core, greatly increasing snowfall potential. In this case, widespread totals of 6 to 12 inches would be possible across central and eastern Kentucky, including the Louisville and Lexington areas, with localized amounts nearing 18 to 24 inches if a heavy snow band develops over the state.
Snow is expected to begin late Saturday, intensify on Sunday, and continue into Monday. Cold temperatures would allow snow to accumulate quickly and remain on roadways. The National Weather Service warned that travel conditions could become dangerous or even impossible during periods of heavy snowfall.
Forecast guidance shows growing chances for at least 6 inches of snow across Kentucky, especially if the northern-track scenario materializes. While Winter Storm Watches have not yet been issued statewide, forecasters said watches are likely within the next 24 to 36 hours as confidence improves.
Officials urged residents to prepare by adjusting weekend travel plans, stocking emergency supplies, and making sure vehicles and heating systems are ready. With cold air expected to linger after the storm, impacts could extend well into next week.
More Kentucky-specific updates are expected as the storm track becomes clearer.
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