Two Rounds of Severe Storms Expected Across IL, IN, KY and MO Thursday

Jessica Bowling

February 19, 2026

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A strong storm system is expected to impact parts of the Midwest Thursday, bringing a two-round severe weather threat across portions of Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, and Missouri.

Here’s a breakdown of what to expect:

🌩 First Round: Thursday Morning (8 AM – 2 PM)

As a warm front lifts north, storms are expected to develop across central and southern Illinois and nearby areas of eastern Missouri and western Indiana.

Areas to watch in Illinois:

  • Peoria

  • Springfield

  • Decatur

  • Champaign

  • Galesburg

  • Quincy

  • Bloomington

  • Effingham

Potential threats:

  • Strong wind gusts

  • Hail

  • Brief, isolated tornado risk

Forecasters say widespread severe weather is not expected, but isolated stronger cells could intensify quickly, especially near and just south of the warm front.


⛈ Second Round: After 3 PM (Highly Conditional)

A second wave of storms may develop later in the afternoon and evening — but this depends on whether the atmosphere can “recover” after the morning storms.

If redevelopment occurs, all severe modes would be possible:

  • Damaging winds

  • Large hail

  • Isolated tornadoes

Expanded risk areas include:

  • Indianapolis

  • Bloomington

  • Lafayette

  • Louisville

  • Bowling Green

Additional Illinois communities in the broader monitoring zone:

  • Carbondale

  • Marion

  • Mount Vernon

  • Olney

  • Vandalia


⚠️ Overall Risk Assessment

  • Not expected to be a high-end outbreak.

  • Severe threat currently categorized as relatively low.

  • However, conditions could escalate quickly depending on storm organization and atmospheric recovery.


✅ What Residents Should Do

  • Monitor updated forecasts Thursday morning.

  • Enable wireless emergency alerts on your phone.

  • Have multiple ways to receive weather warnings.

  • Be prepared for rapidly changing conditions.

While this is more of a “stay alert” setup than a major outbreak scenario, warm-front-driven systems can produce quick, localized severe weather — especially in late winter across the Midwest,

This article has been carefully fact-checked by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and eliminate any misleading information. We are committed to maintaining the highest standards of integrity in our content.

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