How hot will Kentucky get this summer? Forecast outlook explained

It’s spring in Kentucky, and summer is approaching. What kind of temperatures and rainfall can residents expect?

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has released its three-month outlook for May, June, and July, offering a preview of late spring and early summer conditions.

Kentucky summer temperature outlook for May–July

According to NOAA, most of Kentucky—except the north-central region—has a 40–50% chance of experiencing above-normal temperatures from May through July.

Precipitation outlook for May–July

NOAA predicts equal chances for Kentucky to see typical rainfall levels during this period, meaning no strong signal for wetter- or drier-than-average conditions.

Heading to the track?: Here’s Louisville’s latest weather forecast as of Wednesday

When does summer 2026 begin?

Summer officially starts on Sunday, June 21, 2026, with the summer solstice, according to the Old Farmer’s Almanac.

How many days until summer 2026?

As of April 20, there are 62 days remaining until the start of summer.

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