Tuesday Could Bring Marginal Risk of Severe Weather

Jessica Bowling

November 18, 2025

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The Storm Prediction Center has placed western Kentucky, particularly the Pennyrile Region, under a marginal risk for severe weather Tuesday afternoon, with heavy rain expected later in the week on Thursday and Friday.

According to Keith Cooley, a lead forecaster with the National Weather Service, Tuesday’s storms could produce hail and even a possible tornado.

Rainfall totals on Tuesday are expected to reach about a half-inch before conditions briefly improve on Wednesday. Cooley says rain amounts will increase significantly on Thursday and Friday, with 1 to 2 inches likely.

Temperatures will remain in the 60s through the week before cooling into the 50s for Thanksgiving week. While Cooley notes it’s still too early for a precise Thanksgiving weekend outlook, current models suggest a warm Black Friday followed by a sharp 20- to 30-degree temperature drop on Saturday.

As of mid-November, the average temperature was just under 50 degrees—about 2 degrees cooler than last year but 1 degree warmer than in 2023.

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